State governments receive an exogenous tax windfall whenever their residents win a multi-state lottery. These lottery tax windfalls are counter-cyclical but occur during a range of economic conditions. Therefore, lottery tax windfalls enable us to estimate the impact of fiscal policy on...

We derive testable implications of Kyle and Obizhaeva's (2016) notion of "bet invariance'' for the cross-section of trade-time volatilities. We jointly develop theoretical foundations of "no speculative arbitrage'' whose implications incorporate those of bet invariance. Our proposed test...

We use granular data covering regulated (brokerage-financed) and unregulated (shadow-financed) margin trading during the 2015 market turmoil in China to provide the first systematic analysis of margin investors’ characteristics, leverage management policies, and liquidation choices. We show...

The profit to a standard short-term return reversal strategy can be decomposed analytically into four components related to (1) across-industry return momentum; (2) within-industry variation in expected returns; (3) underreaction to within-industry cash flow news; (4) and a residual. Only the...

The profit to a standard short-term return reversal strategy can be decomposed analytically into four components: 1) across-industry return momentum, 2) within-industry variation in expected returns, 3) under-reaction to within-industry cash flow news, and 4) a residual. Only the residual...

The profit to a standard short-term return reversal strategy can be decomposed analytically into four components: 1) across-industry return momentum, 2) withinindustry variation in expected returns, 3) under-reaction to within-industry cash flow news, and 4) a residual. Only the residual...