Showing 1 - 9 of 9
Structural VAR models are frequently identified using sign restrictions on contemporaneous impulse responses. We develop a methodology that can handle a set of prior distributions that is much larger than the one currently allowed for by traditional methods. We then develop an importance sampler...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987867
Structural VAR models require two ingredients: (i) Informational sufficiency, and (ii) a valid identification strategy. These conditions are unlikely to be met by small-scale recursively identified VAR models. I propose a Bayesian Proxy Factor-Augmented VAR (BP-FAVAR) to combine a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012125244
This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to assess if the data support candidate set-identifying restrictions for Vector Autoregressive models. The researcher is uncertain about the validity of some sign restrictions that she is contemplating to use. She therefore expresses her uncertainty with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995896
This paper uses a structural VAR model to study the effect of monetary policy on the delinquency rate of business loans and consumer credit. The VAR is identified using at the same time several external instruments, which cover different approaches from the literature. Delinquency rates, defined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996691
Structural vector autoregressive models are usually identified by combining covariance restrictions implied by the data and identifying restrictions suggested, for example, by economic theory. This paper proposes an approach to assess, in a Bayesian sense, whether or not the data support a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004110
In conventional proxy VAR analysis, the shocks of interest are identified by external instruments. This is typically accomplished by considering the covariance of the instruments and the reduced-form residuals. Alternatively, the instruments may be internalized by augmenting the VAR process by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015205441
A central assumption for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) models via heteroskedasticity is the time-invariance of the impact effects of the shocks. It is shown how that assumption can be tested when longrun restrictions are available for identifying structural shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015207512
Structural VAR models are frequently identified using sign restrictions on impulse responses. Moving beyond the popular but restrictive Normal-inverse-Wishart-Uniform prior, we develop a methodology that can handle almost any prior distribution on contemporaneous responses. We then propose a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011954423