We investigate whether the spread of corporate debt contacts can be explained by their ultimate recovery rates. Using the actual realized recovery rates of defaulted debt instruments issued in the U.S. from 1962 to 2007, we find that recovery rate is reflected in the spread at issuance, and that...

Using a large number of predictors and based on an extended iterated combination approach of Lin, Wu, and Zhou (2017), we document both statistical and economic significance of Treasury bond return predictability. Macroeconomic and aggregate liquidity variables contain predictive information for...

This paper proposes a dynamic information diffusion model that explains the lead-lag reaction of stock prices resulting from the interaction of price trends and implied price risk (IPR). Consistent with our model's predictions, we construct a zero investment underreaction portfolio (overreaction...

This study uncovers a unique dividend-tax arbitrage strategy that provides high-bracket investors the opportunity to circumvent taxation on dividend income. As the first comprehensive analysis, we examine diverse investor types, implementation techniques, and implications on stock prices....

Bolton, Scheinkman, and Xiong (2006) model a setting where investors disagree and short-sales constraints cause pessimistic views of stock prices to be less influential, which leads to speculative stock prices. A theoretical implication of the model is that existing shareholders can exploit the...

We provide plausibly identified evidence for the role of investor disagreement in asset pricing. Our natural experiment exploits the staggered implementation of EDGAR, which induces a reduction in investor disagreement with no accompanying changes in company fundamentals, disclosure quality, or...