When did finance stop thinking about behaviour? The ascendency of the "rational man" model of finance has been strongly influenced by the notion of markets as being akin to natural systems. The question rapidly changes from asking when did finance stop thinking about behaviour to when did...

We study the impact on a country’s economy of sharing a direct land border with a country experiencing conflict. Through analysing sixty-three major episodes of regional instability during the period between 1990 and 2016 by using panel data methods applied to unrestricted error correction...

This paper analyzes a large set of factors that potentially influence the price of gold using Bayesian Model Averaging and Ordinary Least Squares for comparison. We examine the evolution of the importance of factors through time, the role of the time horizon (daily versus monthly),...

We show that the statistical properties of gold are negatively correlated with equities and that including Gold in a portfolio will provide diversification benefits. As there is no consensus on the proportion of gold that should be included in a strategic portfolio allocation we propose a visual...