This article outlines a framework for the analysis of extreme events based on forward-looking reverse stress testing. We carry out a portfolio simulation and identify stress scenarios which are critical for bank solvency as the ones contributing the most to cost of capital, as expressed by KVA...

Performance assessment of derivative pricing models revolves around a comparative model-risk analysis. From among the plethora of econometrically unrealistic models, the ones that survive Darwinian selection tend to generate systematic short term profits while exposing the bank to long term...

Frontmatter -- Advance Praise for Reverse Stress Testing in Banking -- Acknowledgements -- Foreword -- Contents -- Part I: Fundamentals of Reverse Stress Testing -- 1 Reverse Stress Testing: A Versatile Thinking Tool -- 2 Reverse Stress Testing in Banks -- 3 Reverse Stress Testing: An Overview...

Neural networks have risen in popularity for a number of applications, also in quantitative finance. However, the low interpretability of their ‘black box' representation has always been a common criticism. Previous literature has attempted to provide a better understanding and visualisation...

In recent years, forward initial margin has attracted the attention of practitioners and academics. From a computational point of view, it poses a challenging problem as it requires the implementation of a nested Monte Carlo simulation. Abundant literature has been published on approximation...

In this paper, we prove that the conditional dependence structure of default times in the Markov model of "A Bottom-Up Dynamic Model of Portfolio Credit Risk. Part I: Markov Copula Perspective" belongs to the class of Marshall-Olkin copulas. This allows us to derive a factor representation in...