In arbitrage-free but incomplete markets, the equivalent martingale measure Q for pricing traded assets is not uniquely determined. A possible approach when it comes to choosing a particular pricing measure is to consider the one that is 'closest' to the physical probability measure P, where...

In arbitrage-free but incomplete markets, the equivalent martingale measure Q for pricing traded assets is not uniquely determined. A possible approach when it comes to choosing a particular pricing measure is to consider the one that is "closest" to the physical probability measure P, where...

Probability statements about future evolutions of financial and actuarial risks are expressed in terms of the ‘real-world' probability measure P, whereas in an arbitrage-free environment, the prices of these traded risks can be expressed in terms of an equivalent martingale measure Q. The...

To evaluate the aggregate risk in a financial or insurance portfolio, a risk analyst has to calculate the distribution function of a sum of random variables. As the individual risk factors are often positively dependent, the classical convolution technique will not be sufficient. On the other...

In this paper we show that under appropriate moment conditions, the supermodular ordered random vectors X = (X1, X2, ... , Xn) and Y = (Y1, Y2, ... ,Yn) with equal expected utilities (or distorted expectations) of the sums X1 + X2 + ... + Xn and Y1 + Y2 + ... + Yn for an appropriate utility (or...

In this paper we show that under appropriate moment conditions, two supermodular ordered random vectors with equal expected utilities (or distorted expectations) of the sums for an appropriate utility (or distortion) function, must necessarily be equal in distribution. The results in this paper...

In order to price multivariate derivatives, there is need for a multivariate stock price model. To keep the simplicity and attractiveness of the one-dimensional Black & Scholes model, one often considers a multivariate model where each individual stock follows a Black & Scholes model, but the...

In this paper we consider the problem of deriving correlation estimates from observed option data. An implied correlation estimate arises when we match the observed index option price with a corresponding model price. The underlying model assumes that stock prices can be described using a...