This study develops a flow-based corporate credit model that is able to generate concurrently and endogenously a firm's multi-period probabilities of liquidity crunch and expected liquidity shortfalls. Based upon a state-dependent internal liquidity model, it incorporates both systematic and...

This study examines the effects of inside debts on a firm's target leverage and explains the low-leverage puzzle (e.g. Graham, 2000) by the over estimation of the target leverage due to neglecting the effects of inside debts. We find that a firm's inside debt affects not only the target...