In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in sample estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation...

We study the optimal combination of different commodity signals in a dynamic portfolio theoretic framework. Following Brandt et al. (2006, 2009) we parameterize the portfolio weights of a risk-averse mean-variance investor to integrate information from time series predictors and cross-sectional...

Portfolio insurance can be an appropriate means to preserve a given capital floor, yet the associated risk budgeting parameters need to be tailored to align with the underlying investment strategy. The main determinants are strategic asset allocation as well as the range and accuracy of tactical...

Multi-asset multi-factor portfolio allocation is typically centred around a risk-based allocation paradigm, often striving for maintaining equal volatility risk budgets. Given that the common factor ingredients can be highly skewed, we specifically incorporate the notion of tail risk management...

Aiming to optimally harvest global equity factor premiums, we investigated the benefits of parametric portfolio policies for timing factors conditioned on time-series predictors and tilting factors based on cross-sectional factor characteristics. We discovered that equity factors are predictably...

Equity investments promise high expected returns, but not many investors can tolerate the associated risks. A possible solution may be to complement the equity strategy with a portfolio insurance element which ideally reduces the equity exposure whenever necessary to prevent the overall strategy...

In this article, we advance the use of factor investing across multiple asset classes. It turns out that style factors well established in the equity domain – such as value, momentum or quality – do extend to other asset classes as well. Even more so, multi-asset multi-factors significantly...

Correlation networks reveal a rich picture of market risk structure dynamics. A rather compact and well-organized sector correlation network is indicative of a healthy market, whereas a widely spread sector correlation network characterizes a more fragile market environment. Intuitively, some...