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We use the behavioral concept to endogenously model the evolution of the link between households' deposit dollarization and exchange rate developments in Russia. We estimate the model empirically and show that the reaction of households to exchange rate appreciation weakens when exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823110
The aggregate saving indicator does not directly reflect changes in individuals' microeconomic behavior. From the official statistics' point of view, households choosebetween spending, which generates additional income and consumption in the economy, and setting money aside, which does not....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751875
The aggregate saving indicator does not directly reflect changes in individuals’ microeconomic behavior. From the official statistics’ point of view, households choose between spending, which generates additional income and consumption in the economy, and setting money aside, which does not....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806421
The author set up a simplistic agent-based model where agents learn with reinforcement observing an incomplete set of variables. The model is employed to generate an artificial dataset that is used to estimate standard macro econometric models. The author shows that the results are qualitatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159997
The author sets up a simplistic agent-based model where agents learn with reinforcement observing an incomplete set of variables. The model is employed to generate an artificial dataset that is used to estimate standard macro econometric models. The author shows that the results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012120029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012880684
We estimate a panel Bayesian vector autoregression model for a cross-section of seven advanced European economies and produce out-of-sample forecasts of GDP conditionally on observed developments of interest rates and credit. We show that, by using a smooth transition version of the model and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920382
Assuming that a central bank is successful in steering money market interest rates, commercial banks’ loan rate setting behaviour is not expected to change during a transition between liquidity surplus and deficit. However, this logic does not hold if the interest rates for the lending and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214270
When a central bank accumulates foreign reserves, there are two possible ways of balance of payments adjustment: (1) decreasing commercial banks' net foreign assets and,(2) decreasing the non-banking sector's net foreign assets and/or increasing the current account surplus. In the latter case,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663673