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This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility. Economic theory does … not provide a clear guide to the effects of financial integration on volatility, implying that this is essentially an … empirical question. We provide a comprehensive examination of changes in macroeconomic volatility in a large group of industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014084811
, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474806
This paper examines the effects of trade costs on macroeconomic volatility. We first construct a dynamic, two … variability of the trade balance should increase. Trade costs have ambiguous effects on the volatility of other macro variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783054
, one potentially adverse effect of globalization is the possibility that business cycle volatility might increase. Rapid … to unstable international capital flows. At the same time, business cycle volatility in OECD countries seems to have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001680906
volatility, whereas a low degree of pass-through stems from both nominal rigidities (in the form of local currency pricing) and … price discrimination. We model real exchange rate volatility in response to real shocks by reconsidering and extending two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061212
In this paper, I have investigated the out of sample forecast performance for a case study on the determination of the nominal exchange rate for USD vis-à-vis IN¬R under VEC, VAR (in first difference) and Bayesian VAR specification with the help of set of economic theories. The forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910274
Cyclical fluctuations in nominal variables|aggregate price levels and nominal interest rates are documented to be substantially more synchronized across countries than cyclical fluctuations in real output. A transparent mechanism that can account for this striking feature of the nominal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075189
We estimate a multivariate unobserved components-stochastic volatility model to explain the dynamics of a panel of six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326550
This paper jointly analyses two major challenges of the canonical NOEM model: i) combining a relatively important exchange rate pass-through at the border with low pass-through at the consumer level, and ii) generating significant endogenous international business cycle synchronization. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243783
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in a large group of … industrial and developing economies over the period 1960-99. We report two major results: First, while the volatility of output … volatility of consumption growth relative to that of income growth has increased for more financially integrated developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212317