We propose new Unconditional, Independence and Conditional Coverage VaR-forecast backtests for the case of annuity pricing under a Bayesian framework that significantly minimise the direct and indirect effects of $p$-hacking or other biased outcomes in decision-making, in general. As a...

Institutional investors have significantly increased exposure to commodity futures especially oil futures after 2004 in a process called commodity market financialization, raising questions about the risk-sharing and price-discovery functions of the market. We propose an ARMA-GARCH R-vine copula...

Concerning the essence of risk, a joint replenishment and delivery scheduling problem with fuzzy cost-related parameters and random number of imperfect quality items is developed to make it suitable for the inherent uncertainties of procurement-shipment process. The mathematical modeling-based...