The Nelson-Siegel framework is employed to model the term structure of commodity futures prices. Exploiting the information embedded in the level, slope and curvature parameters, we develop novel investment strategies that assume short-term continuation of recent parallel, twist or butterfly...

Total Portfolio Management (TPM) typically focuses on maximizing the fund level reward-to-risk ratio across asset classes on a strategic and tactical basis. Recent evidence suggests that style exposures provide a material contribution to the returns reaped by asset owners. We show that the...

This paper explores the source(s) of commodity futures momentum and an associated anomaly. We decompose the 12-month conventional momentum strategy into single-month momentum components. Historical information in the cross-section of returns at 10 to 11 months prior to portfolio formation...

The paper investigates the information content of speculative pressure across futures classes. Long-short portfolios of futures contracts sorted by speculative pressure capture a significant premium in commodity, currency and equity markets but not in fixed income markets. Exposure to commodity,...