In this paper we study nonparametric estimation and hypothesis testing procedures for the functional coefficient AR (FAR) models of the form Xt = f1(Xt-d)Xt-1 +…+ fp(Xt-d)Xt-p +εt, first proposed by Chen and Tsay (1993). As a direct generalization of the linear AR model, the FAR model is a...

In this paper, we analyze which currencies can be regarded as safe haven currencies. Our empirical approach allows us to distinguish between a low- and high stress regime, and to control for the impact of carry trade reversals and other fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question...

In this paper, we propose a new class of regime shift models with exible switching mechanism that relies on a nonparametric probability function of the observed thresh- old variables. The proposed models generally embrace traditional threshold models with contaminated threshold variables or...

In this paper, we propose a new class of regime shift models with flexible switching mechanism that relies on a nonparametric probability function of the observed threshold variables. The proposed models generally embrace traditional threshold models with contaminated threshold variables or...

In this paper, we analyze which currencies can be regarded as safe haven currencies. Our empirical approach allows us to distinguish between a low- and high stress regime, and to control for the impact of carry trade reversals and other fundamental determinants. We therefore address the question...

Local opinion heterogeneity (LOH) critically influences an individual’s choice of collective behaviors, such as voting and protesting. However, several empirical studies have presented different conclusions on how LOH affects such preference. In the current research, the effect of LOH is...

This paper develops a new investor sentiment index for the Chinese stock market. The index is constructed via the principal component approach (PCA), taking six important economic and market factors into consideration. The sentiment index serves as a threshold variable in a threshold...

Conventional threshold models contain only one threshold variable. This paper provides the theoretical foundation for threshold models with multiple threshold variables. The new model is very different from a model with a single threshold variable as several novel problems arisefrom having an...

We investigate the eects of government spending on U.S. output with a threshold structural vector autoregressive model. We consider Bayesian model comparison and generalized impulse response analysis to test for nonlinearities in the responses of output to government spending. Our empirical...

In this paper we study nonparametric estimation and hypothesis testing procedures for the functional coefficient AR (FAR) models of the form Xt = f1(Xt-d)Xt-1 +…+ fp(Xt-d)Xt-p +εt, first proposed by Chen and Tsay (1993). As a direct generalization of the linear AR model, the FAR model is a...