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, larger budget deficits jspell higher interest rates, as posited by conventional macroeconomic theory. …
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In this paper a new method of constructing the leading economic index is presented. Its main advantage is the ability to distinguish domestic and foreign factors influencing the growth of economy and it is performed via dynamic hierarchical factor modelling. An application is carried out with...
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for economic analysis. This paper demonstrates how a VAR model with long run restrictions justified by economic theory can …
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