Showing 1 - 10 of 1,093
proposed model demonstrates a remarkable performance in short-term and medium-term forecasting. Using real-time GDP data since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011732586
encouraging. In a pseudo out-of-sample exercise, our approach beats relevant benchmarks for forecasting CPI inflation and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508347
The main goal of the article is to investigate forecasting quality of two approaches to modelling main macroeconomic … accuracy not inferior to that of structural models. Additional advantage of their approach is that the forecasting procedure … can be mostly automated and the influence of subjective decisions made in the forecasting process can be significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512536
This work considers the application of Periodogram and Fourier Series Analysis to model all-items monthly inflation rates in Nigeria from 2003 to 2011. The main objectives are to identify inflation cycles, fit a suitable model to the data and make forecasts of future values. To achieve these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474361
This paper discusses identification, specification, estimation and forecasting for a general class of periodic … formulations are introduced for exact maximum likelihood estimation, component estimation and forecasting. Identification issues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350384
agreed. In short, forecasting inflation is of foremost importance to households, businesses, and policymakers. In 2016, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880436
the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011901421
-run predictions of a wide class of theoretical models yields substantial improvements in the forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754400
The article compares forecast quality from two atheoretical models. Neither method assumed a priori causality and forecasts were generated without additional assumptions about regressors. Tendency survey data was used within the Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) framework and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349021
the Nigeria stock market. The EGARCH model is found to be the most efficient for forecasting volatilities and has the … years. The forecasting performance shows the volatility in the Nigeria stock market to be on the increase for the next four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843540