Showing 1 - 10 of 1,627
This paper discusses a number of likelihood ratio tests on long-run relations and common trends in the I(2) model and provide new results on the test of overidentifying restrictions on beta xt and the asymptotic variance for the stochastic trends parameters, alpha 1: How to specify deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217147
Determining the exchange rate pass-through on inflation is a necessity for central banks as well as for firms and households. This is an apparently easy and intuitive task, but it faces high complexity and uncertainty. This paper examines the short and long-term impact of an exchange rate shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554700
Exchange rate movements influence prices through numerous channels. In this paper we provide empirical evidence on pass-through of exchange rate movements into consumer prices. The pass-through depends on a number of factors, and its size may vary over time. In recent years, prices have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341750
Swedish import price determination is investigated using disaggregated monthly data from 1980:1 to 1995:05 for eight different industries. The cointegration analysis indicates two cointegrating relations, in all industries, between import prices, the exchange rate, world market prices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075034
This paper investigates the effect of the exchange rate on prices through wavelet analysis for the period 2010:01-2019:12 in Turkey. The Wavelet Transform outcomes reveal that at a higher frequency, an upsurge in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is associated with an increase in the exchange rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015334671
Impulse response functions (IRFs) offer little insight regarding the channels by which a shock propagates through a dynamical system. I formulate the concept of a pass-through impulse response function (PT-IRF), which measures the passage of a structural shock through specific sets of variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262126
The present value model of the current account has been very popular, as it provides an optimal benchmark to which actual current account series have often been compared. We show why persistence in observed current account data makes the estimated optimal series very sensitive to small-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048985
Under near-singularity conditions typically generated by persistence in current account data the predictions of present value models become extremely sensitive to small sample estimation error. Moreover, traditional Wald tests will distort the likelihood that the model is true. Using OECD data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783079
The present value model of the current account has been very popular, as it provides an optimal benchmark to which actual current account series have often been compared. We show why persistence in observed current account data makes the estimated optimal series very sensitive to small-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132139
In this paper we derive a parameter constancy test of a stationary vector autoregressive model against the hypothesis that the parameters of the model change smoothly over time. A single structural break is contained in this alternative hypothesis as a special case. The test is a generalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001693105