1. General Introduction -- 2. Dynamics in Econometrics -- 3. Estimating the Model -- 4. Testing the Model -- 5. Non-Stationarity and Cointegration -- 6. Specifying the ARDL Model -- 7. Vector Autoregressions -- 8. Panel Data Models -- 9. Non-Stationary Panels -- 10. The Binary Qualitative Model.

In this paper we extend the concept of serial correlation common features to panel data models. This analysis is motivated both by the need to develop a methodology to systematically stu dy and test for common structures and comovements in panel data with autocorrelation present and by an...

Two approaches for model-based clustering of categorical time series based on time- homogeneous first-order Markov chains are discussed. For Markov chain clustering the in- dividual transition probabilities are fixed to a group-specific transition matrix. In a new approach called Dirichlet...

Pure time series-based tests fail to find empirical support formonetary exchange rate models. In this paper we apply pooled timeseries estimation on a forward-looking monetary model, resulting inparameter estimates which are in compliance with the underlyingtheory. Based on a panel version of...

We have argued that from the standpoint of a policy maker, the uncertainty of using the average forecast is not the variance of the average, but rather the average of the variances of the individual forecasts that incorporate idiosyncratic risks. With a slight reformulation of the loss function...