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relationship between the S&P500 Composite Index and the Volatility Index (VIX), but few empirical studies have focused on the … affect ETF returns. The ARCH-LM test shows conditional heteroskedasticity in the estimation of ETF returns, so that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441620
We study the relationship between conditional quantiles of returns and the long-, medium- and short-term volatility in … the volatility time series provides us with new insights into the pricing of risk and increases the accuracy of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722181
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
realized covariance matrices through a GARCH-type structure. We compare the forecasting performance of several such models in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434629
forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771770
daily realized volatility data of Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) and several other indices, we obtained good performance … using these models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise compared with the forecasts obtained based on the usual linear … heterogeneous autoregressive and other models of realized volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478989
We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no arbitrage restrictions by regularizing appropriate groups of coefficients. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487589
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262866
This paper provides robustness checks and analytical derivations to supplement the material presented in the paper Skewness in Expected Macro Fundamentals and the Predictability of Equity Returns: Evidence and Theory.The paper to which these Appendices apply is available at the following URL:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025168