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This paper used cross-sectional aggregation as the inspiration for a model with long-range dependence that arises in …
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We compare direct forecasts of HICP and HICP excluding energy and food in the euro area and five member countries to aggregated forecasts of their main components from large Bayesian VARs with a shared set of predictors. We focus on conditional point and density forecasts, in line with...
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-sectional aggregation. Nonetheless, formal analysis regarding the effect that aggregation has on the long memory dynamics of temperature … aggregation may be exacerbating the long memory estimated in regional and global temperature data. The results are robust to the …
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