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forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures … outperform existing dynamic conditional correlation models for forecasting future covariances. Among the new fMSV models, the … Cholesky MSV model with long memory and asymmetry shows stable and better forecasting performance for one-day, five-day and ten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630
The paper examines the volatility predictive ability of the CBOE crude oil volatility index (OVX), GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Models in the crude oil market. Specifically, the dynamics of two major crude oil pricing benchmarks - Brent in Europe and WTI in America are compared. OVX index is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574074
realized covariance matrices through a GARCH-type structure. We compare the forecasting performance of several such models in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434629
We propose an observation-driven dynamic common factor model for missing value imputation in high-dimensional panel data. The model exploits both serial and cross-sectional information in the data and can easily cope with time-variation in conditional means and variances, as well as with either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015373862
volatility information improves the day volatility estimation. The results indicate a forecasting improvement using bivariate … leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811
realized correlations in the DCC-HEAVY model. The new model removes well known asymptotic bias in DCC-GARCH model estimation … and has more desirable asymptotic properties. We also derive a Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation and provide closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009351
-memory type of dynamics generate first-order effects on forecasting and investment decisions, especially in the long-run. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003112
design their trading strategies. An intelligent forecasting will certainly abet to yield significant profits. Many important … ARIMA modelling. The best fit ARIMA (0,1,0) model was chosen for forecasting the values of time series, viz., BSE_CLOSE and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863169
forecasting technique with respect to various volatility estimators. The methodology of volatility estimation included Close … variations in returns. Forecasting volatility has been a stimulating problem in the financial systems. This study examined the …, Garman-Klass, Parkinson, Roger-Satchell, and Yang-Zhang methods and forecasting was done through the ARIMA technique. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870348
forecasting technique with respect to various volatility estimators. The methodology of volatility estimation includes Close … variations in returns. Forecasting volatility had been a stimulating problem in the financial systems. The study examined the …, Garman-Klass, Parkinson, Roger-Satchell and Yang-Zhang methods and forecasting is done through ARIMA technique. The study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860158