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can be exploited to construct real-time estimates of the cycle that are less subject to ex-post revisions, forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012423691
It has been known for some time that the returns of small firms often differ from those of large firms, and that asset pricing theories, including the Capital Asset Pricing Model and Arbitrage Pricing Theory, cannot account for the difference. Small-capitalization stocks have provided higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857554
to make decisions using this model to forecast the risks associated with investing in the Saudi stock market, within …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
accuracy is assessed through in-sample forecast evaluation across various data sub-samples. This paper also discusses how these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053640
In several recent studies unit root methods have been used in detection of financial bubbles in asset prices. The basic idea is that fundamental changes in the autocorrelation structure of relevant time series imply the presence of a rational price bubble. We provide cross-country evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248952
In several recent studies unit root methods have been used in detection of financial bubbles in asset prices. The basic idea is that fundamental changes in the autocorrelation structure of relevant time series imply the presence of a rational price bubble. We provide cross-country evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976947
Unit root methods have long been used in detection of financial bubbles in asset prices. The basic idea is that fundamental changes in the autocorrelation structure of relevant time series imply the presence of a rational price bubble. We provide cross-country evidence for performance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935286
We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic is a spectral transformation that … novel variants as well. In an empirical application, we backtest forecast distributions for the overnight P&L of ten bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001120548
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009125400