Showing 1 - 10 of 10,932
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720755
Volatility has been used as an indirect means for predicting risk accompanied with an asset. Volatility explains the … variations in returns. Forecasting volatility has been a stimulating problem in the financial systems. This study examined the … different volatility estimators and determined the most efficient volatility estimator. The study described the accuracy of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870348
Volatility had been used as an indirect means for predicting risk accompanied with the asset. Volatility explains the … variations in returns. Forecasting volatility had been a stimulating problem in the financial systems. The study examined the … different volatility estimators and determined the efficient volatility estimator. The study described the accuracy of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860158
We study the relationship between conditional quantiles of returns and the long-, medium- and short-term volatility in … the volatility time series provides us with new insights into the pricing of risk and increases the accuracy of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722181
A large set of macroeconomic variables have been suggested as equity risk premium predictors in the literature. This paper proposes a forecasting approach for the equity risk premium with two novel features. First, individual month-ahead forecasts are obtained from parsimonious threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913585
We perform a large-scale empirical study to compare the forecasting performance of single-regime and Markov-switching GARCH (MSGARCH) models from a risk management perspective. We find that, for daily, weekly, and ten-day equity log-returns, MSGARCH models yield more accurate Value-at-Risk,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902294
We introduce the class of FIR-GARCH models in this paper. FIR-GARCH models provide a parsimonious joint model for low-frequency returns and realized measures, and are sufficiently flexible to capture long memory as well as asymmetries related to leverage effects. We analyze the performances of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029008
We propose a new class of conditional heteroskedasticity in the volatility (CH-V) models which allows for time …-varying volatility of volatility in the volatility of asset returns. This class nests a variety of GARCH-type models and the SHARV model … of Ding (2021b). CH-V models can be seen as a special case of the stochastic volatility of volatility model. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214647
forecasting horizons. Therefore, a long memory volatility model compared to a short memory GARCH model does not appear to improve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910119
forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630