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volatility over the benchmark rational expectations case and exactly matches the standard deviation of consumption. Finally, the … model generates time varying volatility consistent with the data on quarterly equity returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054127
second simple component to account for the remaining contribution to the volatility. This allows the analytical calculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543357
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
second simple component to account for the remaining contribution to the volatility. This allows the analytical calculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011603217
deductive theory based on simplified rationality of the physical world. The behaviour of the markets cannot be derived from … e.g. the CAPM. SIM and MIM frameworks. The multifractal view of e.g. Mandelbrot concerning the market behaviour. has … inspired the outline of the Volatility Asset Pricing Model (VAPM) based on the market’s expected volatility and the serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460249
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross‐section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042424
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
market, size, value, momentum, investment, profitability, and volatility. The value-added induced by factor management via ….g. factor volatility or factor valuation. For the majority of factors, our strategies appear successful especially in recessions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588643
1.71% per annum. Consistent with theory, we find that the volatility of stocks with longer memory is more predictable …This paper examines long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750708