This paper applies the variable forgetting factor and the fixed forgetting factor to financial time-series analysis, and establishes the linkage for the first time between the variable forgetting factor approach and kernel smoothing. We then demonstrate the use of the proposed variable...

This paper represents one of the first studies to document an empirical relation between market sentiment and capital structure in the USA. In a sample of US firms we find that market sentiment as proxied by the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is pervasive and significant in...

We examine the announcement effects of consumer sentiment on US stock and stock futures markets. First, we find that the consumer sentiment announcement has valuable information content. Second, an asymmetric response is observed for “good” versus “bad” sentiment news. Specifically, when...