We use Bayesian time-varying parameters VARs with stochastic volatility to investigate changes in the marginal predictive content of the yield spread for output growth in the United States and the United Kingdom, since the Gold Standard era, and in the Eurozone, Canada, and Australia over the...

"Education is the 'raw material' of the knowledge-based society which is at the centre of the new neo-classical growth theory, and most of all at the heart of the evolutionary growth theory, as the innovation capabilities of economies depend on human capital. According to the more recent...

"Education is the 'raw material' of the knowledge-based society which is at the centre of the new neo-classical growth theory, and most of all at the heart of the evolutionary growth theory, as the innovation capabilities of economies depend on human capital. According to the more recent...

The temporal interdependence between saving and output has been in focus in a number of recent empirical studies. Results from these studies have compelled some authors to question the traditional notion of a causal chain where saving leads growth through capital accumulation. This paper...