This paper empirically investigates the impact of changes in US real interest rates on sovereign default risk in emerging economies using the method of identification through heteroskedasticity. Policy-induced increases in US interest rates starkly raise default risk in emerging market...

We empirically analyse the appropriateness of indexing emerging market sovereign debt to US real interest rates. We find that policy-induced exogenous increases in US rates raise default risk in emerging market economies, as hypothesised in the theoretical literature. However, we also find...

If successfully concluded, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) would be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history. Dennis Novy explains that while the potential benefits from liberalised transatlantic trade are large, getting there will be an arduous process and...

Real wages and living standards have taken a hard hit in the UK in the recent past. Real wages of the typical (median) UK worker have fallen by almost 10% since 2008 and median family incomes have significantly fallen for working age households. This recent experience is weaker than in the...

The researchers note that there have been historically unprecedented falls in UK real wages since the start of the Great Recession. What's more, the long US experience of stagnant real wages (median real weekly earnings in the United States in 2013 were at about the same level as in 1979) might...

The ability of the next US president to rein in spending on healthcare and improve the productivity of the healthcare system is largely going to determine the country's fiscal future. That is one of the conclusions of the latest in a series of US Election Analyses , published by the Centre for...

During this election period many Americans are feeling angry towards the very rich, especially those working in the financial sector, who helped cause the Great Recession and yet were bailed out by the government. Increases in inequality might be tolerable at a time of growing consumption for...

Peter Boone and Simon Johnson believe that there are more and worse financial crises to come.