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About half of professional forecasters report that they use the natural rate of unemployment (u*) to forecast. I show that forecasters' reported use of and estimates of u* are informative about their expectations-formation process, including their use of a Phillips curve. Those who report not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897100
Despite substantial differences in monetary policy and communication strategies, many central banks share the practice … of purdah, a self-imposed guideline of abstaining from communication around policy meetings or other important events … information precisely when it is sought after intensely. However, imposing such a limit to communication has often been justified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604914
During and after the Great Recession of 2008-09, conventional monetary policy in the United States and many other advanced economies was constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. Several central banks implemented large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) programs, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873794
to revert to other types of Fed communication in the inter-meeting periods, and come to their own assessment of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604503
The paper assesses the communication strategies of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central … Bank and their effectiveness. We find that the effectiveness of communication is not independent from the decisionmaking … process in the committee. The paper shows that the Federal Reserve has been pursuing a rather individualistic communication …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604534
The paper shows that central bank communication is a key determinant of the market’s ability to anticipate monetary … policy decisions and the future path of interest rates. Comparing communication policies by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of …, individualistic communication regarding the economic outlook is found to be beneficial for the Federal Reserve, enabling market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604603
such communication has the ability to move financial markets. The findings suggest that communication is generally seen as … so prior to interest rate changes. At the same time, markets react more strongly to communication prior to policy changes …. Other instances where communication becomes more intense, or where financial markets become more responsive are also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604611
Reserve (Fed) communication indicators. Econometrically, we employ an ordered probit model of a Taylor rule to explain and … communication indicators in explaining Canadian interest rate decisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151094
distinguish between these two shocks and, under incomplete learning, private perceptions of the inflation target will not equal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298277
We make three points. First, the decade before the financial crisis in 2007 was characterized by a collapse in the yield on TIPS. Second, estimated VARs for the federal funds rate and the TIPS yield show that while monetary policy shocks had negligible effects on the TIPS yield, shocks to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308552