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the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848
the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical … and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212432
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120765
We propose a noncausal autoregressive model with time-varying parameters, and apply it to U.S. postwar inflation. The … model fits the data well, and the results suggest that inflation persistence follows from future expectations. Persistence … curve indicate that current inflation also depends on past inflation although future expectations dominate. The implied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084430
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068979
the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical … and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158034
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro … area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence … across the board. In particular we find euro area inflation persistence to be broadly in line with US inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318918
the Phillips curve over time. We considerdifferent specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313573
This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020653
Previous tests for convexity in the Phillips curve have been biased because researchers have employed filtering techniques for the NAIRU that have been fundamentally inconsistent with the existence of convexity. This paper places linear and nonlinear models of the Phillips curve on an equal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781999