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In this paper, we argue that the United States and the rest of the world's economies will not be able to achieve balanced growth and full employment unless they are able to agree upon and implement an entirely new way of running the global economy. The economic recovery plans currently under...
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forecasts over a subsequent period. We formalize this idea by defining a forecast breakdown as a situation in which the out … of a forecast breakdown in the Phillips’ curve forecasts of U.S. inflation, and links it to inflation volatility and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604684
The paper aims at assessing the mechanics of the Great Recession, considering both its domestic propagation within the US, as well as its spillovers to advanced and emerging economies. A total of 50 countries has been investigated by means of a large-scale open economy macroeconometric model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094134
We develop a new general equilibrium monopolistic competition model with variable demand elasticity, heterogeneous firms, and multiple asymmetric regions. Wages, productivity, consumption diversity, and markups across firms and markets are all endogenously determined and respond to trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009683263
German unification hit the West German economy in a prosperous and appeared as a huge demand shock at least for the first few quarters. This combination resulted in a major increase of imports from the main trading partners of West Germany, which may have helped to cushion recessionary trends...
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