Showing 1 - 10 of 32,227
This paper studies the intertemporal relation between U.S. volatility risk and international equity risk premia. We … show that a common volatility risk factor constructed from the option-implied U.S. forward variances positively and … robust to the inclusion of existing domestic and U.S. predictors and alternative U.S. volatility risk proxies. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236052
relationship between the S&P500 Composite Index and the Volatility Index (VIX), but few empirical studies have focused on the … affect ETF returns. The ARCH-LM test shows conditional heteroskedasticity in the estimation of ETF returns, so that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961446
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619632
We propose a new measure of the expected variance risk premium that is based on a forecast of the conditional variance from a GARCH-MIDAS model. We find that the new measure has strong predictive ability for future U.S. aggregate stock market returns and rationalize this result by showing that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484829
relationship between the S&P500 Composite Index and the Volatility Index (VIX), but few empirical studies have focused on the … affect ETF returns. The ARCH-LM test shows conditional heteroskedasticity in the estimation of ETF returns, so that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611071
incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749498
incorporating survey information on inflation uncertainty in the estimation. The model captures changes in premia over very diverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570647
"low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our … results suggest that securities volatility is higher during periods of financial or economic instability. We use these results … to evaluate the impact of news during "low" and "high" volatility periods using a GARCH model. News effects, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
We analyze the risk-return trade-off in the US Treasury market using a term-structure model that features volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829513
We analyze the announcement risk premia on the US market between September 1987 and March 2023 and find that the market index exhibits average excess returns of 8.3 bps for macroeconomic announcement days. This strongly contrasts with 1.4 bps returns for non-announcement days. We further measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015076295