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The present value model of U.S. stock prices revisited : long-run evidence with structural breaks, 1871-2012
Esteve García, Vicente; Navarro Ibáñez, Manuel; … - 2017
regression models, 2010) as well as the cointegration tests developed in Arai and Kurozumi (Testing for the null hypothesis of … cointegration with a structural break, 2007) and Kejriwal (Cointegration with structural breaks: an application to the Feldstein …- Horioka Puzzle, 2008). The results obtained are consistent with the existence of linear cointegration between the log stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745419
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How Stable Are Monetary Models of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate? - A Time-varying Coefficient Approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265822
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How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? A time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271135
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Dectecting speculative bubbles in stock prices: A new approach and some evidence for the US
Bohl, Martin T.; Siklos, Pierre L. - 2001
A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301738
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Periodic Integration and Cointegration of U.S. Stock Prices, Dividends, and Interest Rates : A New Test of the Present Value Model
Shirwani, Hassan; Delcoure, Natalya; Wilbratte, Barry J. - 2012
these variables. This means that the conventional cointegration tests may not be robust. Using a more appropriate periodic … cointegration test, our results nevertheless fail to support the present value model, thus reinforcing the case against the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014043638
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Non-Linear Error Correction Models between the Stock Markets in Latin America and the United States
Valdés, Arturo Lorenzo - 2008
a cointegration relation exists between the principals prices stock indexes but allowing that the movements towards the … find that the specification is better in nonlinear than linear models and the cointegration relation only appears in four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215075
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The Weekly Structure of US Stock Prices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2010
In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135946
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How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
-periods. -- Structural exchange rate models ; cointegration ; structural breaks ; switching regression ; time-varying coefficient approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577
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The weekly structure of US stock prices
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2010
In this paper we use fractional integration techniques to examine the degree of integration of four US stock market indices, namely the Standard and Poor, Dow Jones, Nasdaq and NYSE, at a daily frequency from January 2005 till December 2009. We analyse the weekly structure of the series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732289
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Are REITs real estate? : evidence from international sector level data
Hoesli, Martin; Oikarinen, Elias - 2012
The aim of this study is to examine whether securitized real estate returns reflect direct real estate returns or general stock market returns using international data for the U.S., U.K., and Australia. In contrast to previous research, which has generally relied on overall real estate market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558452