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The model of Technical Analysis goes against the fulfillment of the weak form of the Hypothesis of Efficient Market raised by Fama (1970). Nevertheless, recently some studies provide evidence with probable prediction of the expected returns based on the past returns. In particular, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134953
Most corporate bond research on liquidity and dealer inventories is based on the USD-denominated bonds transactions in the US reported to TRACE. Some of these bonds, however, are also traded in Europe, and those trades are not subject to the TRACE reporting requirements. Leveraging our access to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842570
This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625628
This paper investigates for the first time the effects of oil demand shocks and oil supply shocks on stock order flow imbalances leading to changes in stock returns. Through the estimation of a structural VAR model, positive oil demand shocks are able to explain almost 36% of the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959469
This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119
When the U.S. economy sneezes, do emerging markets catch a cold? We show that economic news, and not just monetary policy, in the United States affects financial conditions in emerging markets. News about U.S. employment has the strongest effects, followed by news about economic activity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350292
In this essay, we investigate corporate bond trading in a fully pre-trade transparent market environment using a unique data sample from the Swiss corporate bond market. Contrary to the U.S. market, the Swiss market lists corporate bonds in a central limit order book (CLOB). While dealers place...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350629
The authors re-examine the return-volatility relationship and its dynamics under a new vector autoregression (VAR) identification framework. By analyzing two model-free impliedvolatility indices - the well-established VIX (in the United States) and the recently published VKOSPI (in Korea) - and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311635
This paper empirically shows that US monetary policy influences present and future exposures of developed markets' government bond returns to measures of global, systematic risk and thus affects the time variation of returns on these countries' government bonds. This finding illustrates US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001019
This paper examines the long-run relationship between goods prices and stock prices to understand whether stock market investment can help hedge against inflation in the United States (US) and Canada. This study employed an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration test developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886334