those that were not. When a justice's choice decides the outcome of a case, her ideology plays an even greater role in …

those that were not. When a justice's choice decides the outcome of a case, her ideology plays an even greater role in …

the Cooperative Congressional Election Study and ideal point estimates for congressional primary election candidates to … examine the role of primary electorate ideology in the selection of party nominees. We find that primary voters are more … extreme than general election voters, and candidates who run in primary elections with more polarized electorates are likewise …

on US elections since 1952. We envision a forecaster who fits a model using data from a given election and uses that … each election will have a 50-50 partisan split. Enriching the set of demographics available does not change this conclusion …