The paper analyzes a two-factor credit risk model allowing to capture default and recovery rate variation, their mutual correlation, and dependence on various explanatory variables. At the same time, it allows computing analytically the unexpected credit loss. We propose and empirically...

This paper asks the question: Why has the "general-to-specific" cointegrated VAR approach as developed in Europe had only limited success in the US as a tool for doing empirical macroeconomics, where what might be called a "theory comes first" approach dominates? The reason this paper highlights...

Ursachen von Kreditzyklen unter Berücksichtigung vollkommener und begrenzter Rationalität -- Anreizsysteme und Kreditzyklen in den USA -- Anreizsysteme und Kreditzyklen in mehreren Industrienationen.