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We assess the influence of moneyed interests on legislative decisions. Our theory predicts that the vote outcome distribution and donation flows in a legislature feature a discontinuity at the approval threshold of bills if special interest groups are involved in vote buying. Testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014102932
We assess the influence of moneyed interests on legislative decisions. Our theory predicts that the vote outcome distribution and donation flows in a legislature feature a discontinuity at the approval threshold of bills if special interest groups are involved in vote buying. Testing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861433
on US elections since 1952. We envision a forecaster who fits a model using data from a given election and uses that … each election will have a 50-50 partisan split. Enriching the set of demographics available does not change this conclusion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094858
In 2020, many observers were surprised that the COVID-19 outbreak did not appear to have swung the election. Early … also held an election in the middle of a devastating pandemic. Using county-level epidemiological, electoral, and … find no effect from flu mortality on turnout rates or on the 1920 presidential election. Our results hold using overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094300
We estimate the impact of a political party's ability to unilaterally redistrict Congressional seats upon partisan seat share allocations in the U.S. House of Representatives. Controlling for stateXdecade and year effects, we find an 8.2 percentage point increase in the Republican House seat...
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the Cooperative Congressional Election Study and ideal point estimates for congressional primary election candidates to … extreme than general election voters, and candidates who run in primary elections with more polarized electorates are likewise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158185