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The effects of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on the unemployment rate in the US

Dash, Pradyumna - In: Journal of economic studies 50 (2023) 7, pp. 1413-1427

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428606

Inflation, uncertainty, and labour market conditions in the US

Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu; Oros, Cornel - In: Applied economics 52 (2020) 52, pp. 5770-5782

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307961

Uncertainty indicators based on expectations of business and consumer surveys

Claveria, Oscar - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 48 (2021) 2, pp. 483-505

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543874

Can Households Predict where the Macroeconomy is Headed?

Kladivko, Kamil; Österholm, Pär - 2020

In this paper, we evaluate households' directional forecasts of inflation and the unemployment rate in Sweden. The … forecast where the unem-ployment is headed, but they fail in predicting the direction of future inflation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012654465

Labour shortages and wage growth

Frohm, Erik - 2021

Tight labour markets are usually accompanied by mounting wage pressures. Yet, in the past decade, wage growth has remained subdued despite the appearance of widespread labour shortages. This paper re-examines labour market conditions since 2007 through the lens of a novel indicator, relative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594258

Forecasting dynamically asymmetric fluctuations of the U.S. business cycle

Zanetti Chini, Emilio - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 4, pp. 711-732

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031089

Disagreement à la Taylor : evidence from survey microdata

Dräger, Lena; Lamla, Michael - 2015

mainly driven by disagreement on inflation. Exploring further determinants, we confirm that central bank transparency as well …There is a growing interest in studying the disagreement of economic agents. Most studies, however, focus on the … disagreement regarding one specific variable, hereby neglecting that disagreement may be comoving with disagreement on other …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526685

Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies

Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - In: Applied Economics 47 (2015) 33, pp. 3540-3558

The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349233

Unemployment in administrative data using survey data as a benchmark

Lafuente, Cristina - In: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association 11 (2020) 2, pp. 115-153

Social security administrative data are increasingly becoming available in many countries. These data have a long panel structure (large N, large T) and allow for the measurement of many different variables with high accuracy. It also captures short-term unemployment spells which are normally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496108

The Effects of the Tax-Benefit System on UK Unemployment: A Microeconomic Analysis

Beenstock, Michael - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 1987

Using data from the 1981 Family Expenditure Survey we estimate a logit model for the choice between unemployment and employment, using explanatory variables such as tax and social security benefit rates. Other variables represent the characteristics of the households in the survey and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504221