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Trend breaks appear to be prevalent in macroeconomic time series, and unit root tests therefore need to make allowance for these if they are to avoid the serious effects that unmodelled trend breaks have on power. Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2009) propose a pre-test-based approach which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052194
Recent approaches to testing for a unit root when uncertainty exists over the presence and timing of a trend break employ break detection methods, so that a with-break unit root test is used only if a break is detected by some auxiliary statistic. While these methods achieve near asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052302
Trend breaks appear to be prevalent in macroeconomic time series. Consequently, to avoid the catastrophic impact that unmodelled trend breaks have on power, it is standard empirical practice to employ unit root tests which allow for such effects. A popularly applied approach is the infimum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056390
In this paper we provide a joint treatment of two major problems that surround testing for a unit root in practice: uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data, and uncertainty as to whether the initial condition of the process is (asymptotically)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130228
In this paper we consider testing for a unit root in the possible presence of a trend break at an unknown time. Zivot and Andrews (1992) [Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 10, 251–270] proposed using the infimum of t-ratio Dickey–Fuller statistics across all candidate break points...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580524
In this paper we consider the issue of testing a time series for a unit root in the possible presence of a break in a linear deterministic trend at some unknown point in the series. We propose a break fraction estimator which, in the presence of a break in trend, is consistent for the true break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497820
In this paper we focus on two major issues that surround testing for a unit root in practice, namely: (i) uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data, and (ii) uncertainty as to whether the initial condition of the process is (asymptotically) negligible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497825
In this paper we consider the issue of testing for a unit root when it is uncertain as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data. The Dickey-Fuller-type tests of Elliott, Rothenberg and Stock (1996), based on (local) GLS detrended (demeaned) data, are near...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497828
In practice a degree of uncertainty will always exist concerning what specification to adopt for the deterministic trend function when running unit root tests. While most macroeconomic time series appear to display an underlying trend, it is often far from clear whether this component is best...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497834