We use non-Gaussian features in U.S. macroeconomic data to identify aggregate supply and demand shocks while imposing minimal economic assumptions. Recessions in the 1970s and 1980s were driven primarily by supply shocks, later recessions were driven primarily by demand shocks, and the Great...

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION TO MODERN MAINSTREAM MACROECONOMIC THOUGHT VERSUS KEYNES’ VIEWS ON RECOVERIES FROM RECESSIONS -- CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW OF MAJOR SCHOOLS OF MACROECONOMIC THOUGHT AND EMPIRICAL WORK -- CHAPTER 3: RESULTS FROM ESTIMATING AND PROJECTING TRENDS FOR RECENT RECESSIONS...