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the unemployment rate. Our results are threefold. First, only a minor part of the rise in uncertainty measures during the … percentage point of the drop in GDP, macroeconomic uncertainty shocks increased the unemployment rate by up to 0.7 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429213
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009008065
US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical … fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of entrepreneurship. We find evidence of hysteresis in Spain, but not the … article discusses implications of the findings for the design of entrepreneurship policies. -- Hysteresis ; unobserved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003830249
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965456
increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913269
We investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics in the post-WWII U.S. recessions via non … linear VARs in terms of (i) magnitude of the reaction of the unemployment rate to such shocks, and (ii) contribution to the … variance of the prediction errors of unemployment at business cycle frequencies. We discuss the ability of different classes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053918
increase in economic policy uncertainty on unemployment in recessions and expansions. We find the response of unemployment to … confirms that the contribution of EPU shocks to the volatility of unemployment at business cycle frequencies is markedly larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864417
This paper estimates the permanent and transitory movements in U.S. output and the unemployment rate and the … relationships between them. The results suggest that permanent movements in U.S. output and the unemployment rate are important for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065359
significant contribution to unemployment dynamics by GTU shocks in the United States. Differently, the contribution of GTU shocks … to unemployment dynamics in Australia is found to be much milder and substantially lower than that of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735982