Li, Yao; Lu, Lingfei; Wei, Shang-jin; Yao, Jingbo - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2025
We find that an unanticipated tightening of US monetary policy tends to raise US import prices. This empirical "spill-back" pattern differs from the predictions of typical open-economy macro models. We also document a new empirical "spillover" effect: import prices of other countries also rise...