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This paper investigates dynamic correlations of stock-bond returns for different stock indices and bond maturities. Evidence in the US shows that stock-bond relations are time-varying and display a negative trend. The stock-bond correlations are negatively correlated with implied volatilities in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292914
Macroeconomic time series often involve a threshold effect in their ARMA representation, and exhibit long memory features. In this paper we introduce a new class of threshold ARFIMA models to account for this. The threshold effect is introduced in the autoregressive and/or the fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966199
The present paper tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure and real per capita disposable personal income in the USA. In doing so, we exploit the fact that the flows of disposable income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439261
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013436468
former than in the latter. As an aside, we also show that, persistence of inflation volatility however, is higher during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045937
This paper investigates the response of US stock market uncertainty to monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Bank. It can be shown that monetary policy significantly Granger-causes stock market confidence. By using monthly closing prices of the V IX as a stock market uncertainty proxy and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935254
This paper investigates the response of US stock market uncertainty to monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Bank. It can be shown that monetary policy significantly Granger-causes stock market confidence. By using monthly closing prices of the V IX as a stock market uncertainty proxy and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093897
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management … the daily or lower frequency volatility can be obtained by summing over squared high-frequency returns.In turn, this so …-called realized volatility can be used for more accurate model evaluation and description of the dynamic and distributional structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727640
Continued consolidation of the U.S. banking industry and a general increase in the size of banks has prompted some policymakers to consider policies that discourage banks from getting larger, including explicit caps on bank size. However, limits on the size of banks could entail economic costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904022
Considering U.S. natural gas prices at one hub and several city gates, we investigate the structural evolution of natural gas prices (i.e. law of one price), and the potential convergence or divergence of gas prices across the country. First, we extract the latent common price component, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889508