This paper investigates the usefulness of the term structure of credit spreads to predict the business cycle in Japan. Our analyses provide clear evidence that the term structure of credit spreads has more predictive power than the government bond yield. Specifically, the paper shows that the...

Does the market value the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance of firms in corporate bond credit spreads? In this study, we construct the firm-level corporate bond credit spread based on the ‘bottom-up’ approach and examine the relationship between corporate ESG...