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Based on recent evidence of fractional cointegration in commodity spot and futures markets, we investigate whether a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770
Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700
In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for … quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first …, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger cointegration test and Philips Ouliaris test. Both methods provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489691
employing the Kalman filter. The time-varying cointegration parameters suggest that the security measures indeed impacted price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356541
We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and common cyclical features. While the presence of … cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398127
investigate the relationships between separation in cointegration and separation in serial correlation common features. Loosely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409009
cointegration parameters. Algorithms for (constrained) maximum likelihood estimation are presented, and asymptotic properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710948
We consider the fractional cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model of Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) and show that the test statistic for the ususal CVAR model is asymptotically chi-squared distributed. Because the usual CVAR model lies on the boundary of the parameter space for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756080
fractional cointegration types; survival analysis; statistical modelling; likelihood; econometric methodology; the teaching and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355167
for the cointegration rank test are also briefly discussed. In our empirical application we use the data from Figuerola … conclusion from the empirical analysis is that, when using the FCVAR model, there is more support for the cointegration vector (1 …-run backwardation, compared to the results from the non-fractional model. Specifically, we reject the hypothesis that the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946780