Showing 121 - 130 of 39,131
We use the GARCH-MIDAS model to extract the long- and short-term volatility components of cryptocurrencies. As … potential drivers of Bitcoin volatility, we consider measures of volatility and risk in the US stock market as well as a measure … of global economic activity. We find that S&P 500 realized volatility has a negative and highly significant effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856965
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823435
research. The volatility is generally perceived as negatively affecting international trade. While theoretical predictions and … 2014, this paper uncovers no significant effects of exchange rate volatility on imports. In the case of exports, however …, the study finds a negative effect of volatility in the short-run, consistent with the above view, but a positive impact in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845413
significant degree of leptokurtosis, thus prevalence of tail-risks, in the conditional volatility series of such variables in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969864
dynamics of oil price volatility by examining interactions between oil market and exchange rate in selected MENA countries …) to examine the presence of volatility spillover between oil prices and exchange rates return series. The econometric … rates, and ii) there is significant evidence of volatility spillovers from oil markets to exchange rate markets in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897569
We analyze the impact of Eurozone/Germany and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements and the communication of the monetary policy settings of the ECB and the Fed on the forex markets of new EU members. We employ an event study methodology to analyze intra-day data from 2011-2015. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011902959
argued that such a policy could result in the harmful consequence of exchange rate volatility. This study analyzes the link … between exchange rate devaluation, volatility, and export performance. The analysis focuses on the manufacturing sector and 10 … in the World Trade Organization, or even the export partners’ geographic structures, are also accounted for in the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961540
, volatility, and trading volume interrelate. To uncover this, we provide a simple theoretical framework to jointly explore these …, volatility, and illiquidity, (ii) stronger commonalities pertain to more efficient (arbitrage-free) currencies, and (iii) the … risk analysis. For policy makers, our work highlights the developments of FX global volume, volatility, and illiquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946662
In light of the recent discussion regarding the measurement of uncertainty and its impact on economic activity, this paper derives forward-looking measures of uncertainty and directional expectations for the CHF/EUR exchange rate based on over-the-counter option data and analyses its impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946988
In this paper we aim to improve existing empirical exchange rate models by accounting for uncertainty with respect to the underlying structural representation. Within a flexible Bayesian non-linear time series framework, our modeling approach assumes that different regimes are characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930302