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This paper investigates the nonlinear Granger causality and spillover effects among geopolitical risk, crude oil and Chinese disaggregated sectoral stock markets by using a multivariate nonlinear Granger causality test and connectedness network analysis. The nonlinear Granger causality and...
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The martingale theory of price bubbles defines an asset bubble to exist when the asset's price process is a strict local martingale, that is, a local martingale that is not a martingale. Using this definition of a price bubble, for continuous semimartingales, we characterize the conditions under...
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