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The dynamics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets is an important element of competitive power markets that were only established in the last decade. In electricity markets, the market micro-structure does not allow for continuous trading, since operators require advance notice in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966292
The dynamics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets is an important element of competitive power markets that were only established in the last decade. In electricity markets, the market microstructure does not allow for continuous trading, since operators require advance notice in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952964
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411552
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012517199
In this paper, we study the quality of commodity futures markets. We investigate the impact of two major changes: (1) The influx of index investors after 2004 (financialization) and (2) the introduction of side-by-side trading of open-outcry and electronic limit order markets around mid-2006...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254800
Traditionally volatility is viewed as a measure of variability, or risk, of an underlying asset. However recently investors began to look at volatility from a different angle. It happened due to emergence of a market for new derivative instruments - variance swaps. In this paper first we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319195
As an asset is traded, its varying prices trace out an interesting time series. The price, at least in a general way, reflects some underlying value of the asset. For most basic assets, realistic models of value must involve many variables relating not only to the individual asset, but also to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270708
The volatility implied by observed market prices as a function of the strike and time to maturity form an Implied Volatility Surface (IVS). Practical applications require reducing the dimension and characterize its dynamics through a small number of factors. Such dimension reduction is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274129
Empirical studies have shown that a large number of financial asset returns exhibit fat tails and are often characterized by volatility clustering and asymmetry. Also revealed as a stylized fact is Long memory or long range dependence in market volatility, with significant impact on pricing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274140
In recent years support vector regression (SVR), a novel neural network (NN) technique, has been successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVR in volatility forecasting. Based on a recurrent SVR, a GARCH method is proposed and is compared with a moving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274143