Showing 1 - 10 of 13
This paper uses information on VIX to improve the empirical performance of GARCH models for pricing options on the S&P 500. In pricing multiple cross-sections of options, the models' performance can clearly be improved by extracting daily spot volatilities from the series of VIX rather than by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007850
Relatively little is known about the empirical performance of infinite-activity Levy jump models, especially with non-affine volatility dynamics. We use extensive empirical data sets to study how infinite-activity Variance Gamma and Normal Inverse Gaussian jumps with affine and non-affine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004594
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The bias between the expected realised variance under the historical measure and the risk neutral probability introduces the concept of the risk premium. How does the market variance risk premium vary over time or look like in the future? Our work introduced a probabilistic modeling of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969967
This paper introduces a non-parametric framework to statistically examine how news events, such as company or macroeconomic announcements, contribute to the pre- and post-event jump dynamics of stock prices under the intraday seasonality of the news and jumps. We demonstrate our framework, which...
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This study examines how calibrated stochastic volatility models maintain their option pricing performance over subsequent days. Specifically, using a number of sets of single and multi-day data, different loss functions, and regularization techniques, we examine the dynamics of the pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098500
In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be adjusted to new information that arrives along with a jump in underlying's return, whereas gradual changes in implied volatility would indicate market inefficiency. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898071
We develop a novel, option-based approach for detecting intraday jumps in stock prices. One of the components involved in intraday jump detection is instantaneous volatility, by which intraday returns are scaled. The existing intraday jump detection approaches assume that volatility does not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247323