Showing 1 - 10 of 3,916
This study attempts to examine the price discovery process and volatility spillovers in Gold futures and spot markets of National Commodity Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) by employing Johansen’s Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and the Bivariate ECM-EGARCH(1,1) model. The empirical result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310237
We examine whether the option market leads the stock market with respect to positive in addition to negative price discovery. We document that out-of-themoney (OTM) option prices, which determine the Risk-Neutral Skewness (RNS) of the underlying stock return's distribution, can embed positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872403
In this paper, we show that large inflows into commodity investments, a recent phenomenon known as financialization, has changed the behavior and dependence structure between commodities and the general stock market. The common perception is that the increase in comovements is the result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410769
In this paper, we show that large inflows into commodity investments, a recent phenomenon known as financialization, has changed the behavior and dependence structure between commodities and the general stock market. The common perception is that the increase in comovements is the result of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339396
Understanding volatility transmissions amongst commodity futures and the stock market is integral for risk management. In this study, we investigate the time-varying volatility spillovers amongst nine major commodity futures and the US S\&P 500 index across three decades. We also analyse the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349612
We investigate the informational content of options-implied probability density functions (PDFs) for the future price of oil. Using a semiparametric variant of the methodology in Breeden and Litzenberger (1978), we investigate the fit and smoothness of distributions derived from alternative PDF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121073
We investigate the integration of oil spot and futures markets using matched, intraday data to avoid non-synchronous trading issues. Our evidence indicates highly integrated spot and futures markets. Economic shocks that arise in spot markets are quickly transmitted to the futures markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972487
This article demonstrates that momentum, term structure and idiosyncratic volatility signals in commodity futures markets are not overlapping which inspires a novel triple-screen strategy. We show that simultaneously buying contracts with high past performance, high roll-yields and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037411
We study momentum and mean-reversion strategies in commodity futures prices and their relationship to momentum and mean-reversion in commodity spot prices. We find that momentum performs well in futures markets, but not in spot markets, and that mean-reversion performs well in spot markets, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984051
This article reviews recent academic studies that analyze the performance of long-short strategies in commodity futures markets. Special attention is devoted to the strategies based on roll-yields, inventory levels or hedging pressure that directly arise from the theory of storage and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903777