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This paper reveals cross-country evidence on how the development of the financial system affects business cycle's volatility. The link between credit markets and economic activity has been the focus of extensive literature, but no cross-country empirical study relating the volatility of economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115626
paper finds that while the loan rate markup after a contractionary monetary policy shock increases and thus amplifies … aggregate fluctuations, the impact of imperfect banking competition after a productivity shock is less clear and depends on the … persistence of the shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012488049
endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761866
shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial variables into contributions from country-specific uncertainty and uncertainty common to all countries. We find that the common component plays an important role in driving the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
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direction. Consequently, the downside risk varies much more than the upside risk. Using a structural VAR, we find that both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077293