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Sudden big price changes are followed by periods of high and persistent volatility. I develop a tractable dynamic rational expectations model consistent with this observation. An infinity of agents possess dispersed information about future dividends and trade in centralized markets. Information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109066
market. This model highlights the importance that information theory's communication constraints have on the level of price … volatility surface. This type of analysis helps to reconcile traditional financial theory such as the Black-Scholes model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028210
There has been a long debate on the interpretation of idiosyncratic return variation. We inform this debate by examining the extent to which stock return synchronicity is associated with the post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) in China. We find that firms with higher synchronicity exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220169
We evaluate the impact of complexity and content of new information on stock return volatility dynamics around 10-K fillings. On average, return volatility increases by 0.4% in the first four weeks after the release of the report, followed by a 2.6% decrease in the subsequent six weeks. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937620
Modern asset pricing theory predicts an unambiguously positive relationship between volatility and expected returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321566
Excessive risk-taking of financial agents drew a lot of attention in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Low interest rates and subdued market volatility during the Great Moderation are sometimes blamed for stimulating risk-taking and leading to the recent financial crisis. In recent years,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024141
return volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014213768
return volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function … informed conjectures as to improved volatility estimation methods. -- Realized Volatility ; Market Microstructure Theory ; High …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831222
volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function between latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077120
return volatility estimation. In particular, we use market microstructure theory to derive the cross-correlation function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303673